张忠会,李玉婷,何乐彰,姚峰,张毅明.蒙特卡洛方法在电力系统静态安全风险评估中的应用[J].电测与仪表,2015,52(19):. ZHANG Yiming,LI Yuting,HE Lezhang,YAO Feng,ZHANG Zhonghui.Monte Carlo Methods in Power System Static SecurityRisk Assessment[J].Electrical Measurement & Instrumentation,2015,52(19):.
蒙特卡洛方法在电力系统静态安全风险评估中的应用
Monte Carlo Methods in Power System Static SecurityRisk Assessment
Considering the fault probability and the severity of the fault based on the risk theory. Use the non-sequential Monte Carlo method to extract the fault status of the system, analyze the static security of the power system by the loss-load risk indicator, the voltage off-limited risk indicator and the overload risk indicator，and use 3-scaled analytic hierarchy process to determine the relationship of weight between the single risk value and the comprehensive risk value. Also discussed the application of the indicators, analyzed and calculated the risk indicators of a real gird. The example shows the power system static security risk assessment based on the Monte Carlo method is feasible, can quantitatively given the level of systemic risk, provide some useful reference for power system static security risk analysis study.
