碳计量视角下绿色电力交易对碳市场主体行为决策的影响机制研究

钟立华; 潘峰; 杨雨瑶; 冯磊; 杨旭; 王文军; 张恰恰

钟立华,潘峰,杨雨瑶,冯磊,杨旭,王文军,张恰恰.碳计量视角下绿色电力交易对碳市场主体行为决策的影响机制研究[J].电测与仪表,2025,62(1):68-79.
ZHONG Lihua,PAN Feng,YANG Yuyao,FENG Lei,YANG Xu,WANG Wenjun,Zhang qiaqia.A study on the impact mechanism of green electricity trading on the decision-making behavior of carbon market participants from the perspective of carbon measurement[J].Electrical Measurement & Instrumentation,2025,62(1):68-79.

碳计量视角下绿色电力交易对碳市场主体行为决策的影响机制研究

A study on the impact mechanism of green electricity trading on the decision-making behavior of carbon market participants from the perspective of carbon measurement

DOI：10.19753/j.issn1001-1390.2025.01.009

中文关键词: 绿色电力碳市场系统动力学模型行为决策碳计量

英文关键词:green electricity, carbon market, SD model, behavioral decision-making, carbon measurement

基金项目:中国南方电网有限责任公司软课题研究项目(035900RT24020142)；深圳市哲学社会科学规划课题(SZ2024B019)深圳绿色低碳转型路线图及深圳模式研究；能源基金会项目(G-2306-34748)；广东省基础与应用基础研究基金面上项目(2023A1515011476)

作者中文名	作者英文名	单位
钟立华	ZHONG Lihua	广东电网有限责任公司计量中心
潘峰	PAN Feng	广东电网有限责任公司计量中心
杨雨瑶	YANG Yuyao	广东电网有限责任公司计量中心
冯磊	FENG Lei	广东电网有限责任公司计量中心
杨旭	YANG Xu	中国科学院广州能源研究所
王文军	WANG Wenjun	中国科学院广州能源研究所
张恰恰	Zhang qiaqia	中国科学院广州能源研究所

摘要点击次数: 195

中文摘要:

随着电力市场和碳市场的规模不断扩展，二者之间的交叉管理带来了显著的制度摩擦。现有研究多聚焦于绿色电力对可再生能源消纳的影响，但对于绿色电力与碳市场的耦合机制，尤其是其对发电企业利润及决策行为的具体影响缺，仍缺乏深入分析。文中运用系统动力学模型，结合碳计量方法，从发电企业的生产成本与利润角度出发，对广东电碳市场进行了模拟分析，包括可再生能源消纳权重政策调控、绿色电力价格、绿电在碳市场中的抵扣比例等关键因素对碳市场主体行为决策的影响。研究解构了绿电交易和碳市场互动的复杂机制，并强调了碳计量和碳监测在准确评估碳排放和引导市场行为中的重要性，提出了优化电碳市场耦合机制的研究方向。

英文摘要:

With the continuous expansion of the electricity market and the carbon market, the cross-management between the two parties has led to significant institutional friction. Existing research primarily focuses on the impact of green electricity on the consumption of renewable energy. However, there is still a lack of in-depth analysis of the coupling mechanism between green electricity and the carbon market, particularly regarding its specific impact on profits and decision-making behaviors of power generation enterprises. This paper employs a system dynamics model combined with carbon measurement methods to conduct a simulation analysis of the carbon market in Guangdong province from the perspective of production costs and profits of power generation enterprises.It examines key factors such as renewable energy consumption weight policy regulation, green electricity prices, and the proportion of green electricity deductions in the carbon market, and their impact on the decision-making behaviors of carbon market entities. The study deconstructs the complex mechanisms of green electricity trading and carbon market interaction, highlights the importance of carbon measurement and monitoring in accurately assessing carbon emissions and guiding market behavior, and proposes research directions for optimizing the coupling mechanism of the electricity and carbon markets.

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