• HOME
  • About Journal
    • Historical evolution
    • Journal Honors
  • Editorial Board
    • Members of Committee
    • Director of the Committee
    • President and Editor in chief
  • Submission Guide
    • Instructions for Authors
    • Manuscript Processing Flow
    • Model Text
    • Procedures for Submission
  • Academic Influence
  • Open Access
  • Ethics&Policies
    • Publication Ethics Statement
    • Peer Review Process
    • Academic Misconduct Identification and Treatment
    • Advertising and Marketing
    • Correction and Retraction
    • Conflict of Interest
    • Authorship & Copyright
  • Contact Us
  • Chinese
Site search        
文章摘要
计及熵权指标及关联度排序的风电历史数据挖掘
Study on mining in the historical data of wind power based on entropy-weight index and correlation sorting
Received:September 14, 2016  Revised:September 14, 2016
DOI:
中文关键词: 风电预测  概率分布  熵权距离  关联度排序  亲密样本
英文关键词: wind  power forecasting, probability  distribution, entropy-weight  index, correlation  sorting, intimate  sample
基金项目:国家科技支撑计划项目 (2015BAA01B01)
Author NameAffiliationE-mail
Shi Kunpeng* State Key Lab of Power Systems,Dept of Electrical Engineering,Tsinghua University kunpengshi2005@163.com 
Zhao Wei State Key Lab of Power Systems,Dept of Electrical Engineering,Tsinghua University zhaowei@tsinghua.edu.cn 
Li Ting Jinlin Jiaxi Electric Engineering Technology Ltd kunpengshi2005@163.com 
Liu Menghua State Key Lab of Power Systems,Dept of Electrical Engineering,Tsinghua University kunpengshi2005@163.com 
Wang Zeyi Jinlin Electric Power Company kunpengshi2005@163.com 
Hits: 1660
Download times: 493
中文摘要:
      预测风电功率对优化发电调度计划、促进风电消纳均具有重要意义。通过与供电负荷历史数据进行日间波动特性及其概率分布规律的对比研究,证明风电功率日间波动曲线在同比、环比方面均无明显规律可循,其幅频特性更适合以右偏态分布表征,但这会增大预测难度。为解决短期风电功率预测模型对海量历史数据中有用信息的挖掘问题,提出了一种基于熵权指标和关联度排序的亲密样本筛选方法。对北方某省实测数据的分析表明,与几种常见预测算法相比,所提出方法在提高短期风电预测准确性和计算效率方面均具有一定优势。
英文摘要:
      Wind Power Forecasting has important significance to optimize the power dispatching plan, and promote wind power acceptance. By comparing with the historical data of load concerning the daily fluctuation characteristics and the probability distribution, the volatility of the day data of wind power has no obvious law to follow on year-on-year week-on-week basis, and its statistics law approximately meets Weibull distribution, which undoubtedly increases the difficulty of wind power prediction technology. An identification method of the intimate sample based on entropy-weight index and correlation sorting is proposed, in order to mine useful information fromSaSmassSofShistorical data for short-term wind power forecasting model. Through case study of the northern province of real data, it show that, compared with other common prediction algorithms, the improved method proposed in this paper has some advantages in improving the accuracy and the efficiency of short-term wind power forecasting.
View Full Text   View/Add Comment  Download reader
Close
  • Home
  • About Journal
    • Historical evolution
    • Journal Honors
  • Editorial Board
    • Members of Committee
    • Director of the Committee
    • President and Editor in chief
  • Submission Guide
    • Instructions for Authors
    • Manuscript Processing Flow
    • Model Text
    • Procedures for Submission
  • Academic Influence
  • Open Access
  • Ethics&Policies
    • Publication Ethics Statement
    • Peer Review Process
    • Academic Misconduct Identification and Treatment
    • Advertising and Marketing
    • Correction and Retraction
    • Conflict of Interest
    • Authorship & Copyright
  • Contact Us
  • 中文页面
Address: No.2000, Chuangxin Road, Songbei District, Harbin, China    Zip code: 150028
E-mail: dcyb@vip.163.com    Telephone: 0451-86611021
© 2012 Electrical Measurement & Instrumentation
黑ICP备11006624号-1
Support:Beijing Qinyun Technology Development Co., Ltd