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文章摘要
一种智能变电站保护装置寿命预测方法
A life prediction method for intelligent substation protection device
Received:July 02, 2017  Revised:July 02, 2017
DOI:
中文关键词: 继电保护装置  马尔科夫链  寿命预测
英文关键词: relay protection device, Markov chain, life prediction
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目( 重点项目)
Author NameAffiliationE-mail
huangtao State Grid ZhenJiang Power Supply Company 846472189@qq.com 
zhoupeng State Grid ZhenJiang Power Supply Company 2396953513@qq.com 
laiqiupin* School of Electrical Engineering Wuhan University m15207149248@163.com 
wangzhunian State Grid ZhenJiang Power Supply Company 846472189@qq.com 
wangliang School of Electrical Engineering Wuhan University 2396953513@qq.com 
yangjun School of Electrical Engineering Wuhan University m15207149248@163.com 
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中文摘要:
      继电保护设备剩余有效寿命预测是智能变电站二次设备状态检修的技术关键。本文提出了一种基于马尔科夫链的智能变电站继电保护设备寿命预测方法,该方法基于马尔科夫链,利用设备在线监测信息和历史运行数据获得其状态分布向量以及状态转移矩阵,进而根据可靠性原理预测其剩余有效寿命。算例分析结果表明该方法可以对保护装置未来运行状态分布和剩余寿命进行有效预测,其预测结果可以为运行人员提供参考。目前该方法已应用在实际智能变电站的二次设备在线监测系统中,有助于提高智能变电站的安全运行水平。
英文摘要:
      The remaining effective life prediction of the relay protection equipment is the key technology of the secondary equipment condition maintenance of the intelligent substation. This paper presents a method for predicting the life of relay protection equipment based on the Markov chain. Based on the Markov chain, the state distribution vector and the state transition matrix are obtained by using the equipment on-line monitoring information and historical operation data, then to predict its remaining effective life based on reliability principle. The results of numerical examples show that the proposed method can effectively predict the future operation state distribution and residual life of the protection device, and the prediction results can provide reference for the operation personnel. At present, this method has been applied in the on-line monitoring system of the intelligent substation secondary equipment, which can help to improve the stability of the intelligent substation.
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