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文章摘要
基于Gamma过程的交流接触器剩余电寿命仿真预测
Simulation residual electrical life prediction of AC contactor based on the Gamma process
Received:August 13, 2017  Revised:September 14, 2017
DOI:
中文关键词: 交流接触器  Gamma过程  累积燃弧侵蚀量  剩余寿命预测
英文关键词: AC contactor, Gamma process, arcing of cumulative amount, residual life prediction
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目( 重点项目)(51377043),国家重点基础研究发展计划(973计划)(2015CB251002),河北省自然科学基金(E2015202109),河北省高等学校创新团队领军人才培育计划(LJRC003)
Author NameAffiliationE-mail
likui* Province-Ministry Joint Key Laboratory of Electromagnetic Field and Electrical Apparatus Reliability Hebei University of Technology, Tianjin 300130, China likui@hebut.edu.cn 
lizhengguang Province-Ministry Joint Key Laboratory of Electromagnetic Field and Electrical Apparatus Reliability Hebei University of Technology, Tianjin 300130, China zhengguang06@126.com 
duanyu Province-Ministry Joint Key Laboratory of Electromagnetic Field and Electrical Apparatus Reliability Hebei University of Technology, Tianjin 300130, China 2606725745@qq.com 
zhengshumei Province-Ministry Joint Key Laboratory of Electromagnetic Field and Electrical Apparatus Reliability Hebei University of Technology, Tianjin 300130, China zhengshumei0216@163.com 
liuzhengjun Province-Ministry Joint Key Laboratory of Electromagnetic Field and Electrical Apparatus Reliability Hebei University of Technology, Tianjin 300130, China 1130365082@qq.com 
gaozhicheng Province-Ministry Joint Key Laboratory of Electromagnetic Field and Electrical Apparatus Reliability Hebei University of Technology, Tianjin 300130, China 2855911158@qq.com 
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中文摘要:
      交流接触器在电力系统中担负着开断、控制功能,其运行状态对整个电力系统的安全运行有重要的意义。根据交流接触器的仿真数据建立了Gamma过程模型并进行了剩余寿命预测。首先,通过MATLAB得出三组单触头电弧侵蚀仿真试验数据,并计算出每100次的累积燃弧能量。其次,将累计燃弧侵蚀数据的频率直方图和经验分布函数图分别与Gamma分布密度曲线和累积曲线进行拟合,并做出皮尔逊χ2拟合优度检验,结果证明了Gamma过程可以描述交流接触器的性能退化过程。最后,对仿真数据进行基于Gamma过程模型的剩余寿命预测,并进行误差分析。通过分析,寿命预测结果的相对误差绝大部分是在10%以下,最高值也在20%以下,可以满足工程上的需要,提高了预测精度。
英文摘要:
      AC contactor is responsible for breaking, control function in the power system, whose operating status is of great importance to the safe operation of the entire power system. The Gamma process model is established for the simulation data of the AC contactor and the residual life prediction is carried out. First, three sets of single-contact arc erosion test data can be obtained by MATLAB, and we calculate the accumulated arcing energy per 100 cycles. Secondly, the frequency histogram and the empirical distribution function graph of the cumulative arc erosion data are fitted with the Gamma distribution density curve and the cumulative curve respectively, and the Pearson χ2 fit goodness test is made. The results prove that the Gamma process can describe the performance of AC contactor degradation process. Finally, the residual life prediction based on the Gamma process model and the error analysis is carried out for the simulation data. Through the analysis, the relative error of life prediction is mostly below 10%, less than 20% the highest, which can meet the engineering needs and improve the prediction accuracy.
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