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文章摘要
计及延迟效应的两段特征选择技术在负荷预测中的应用
Application of two-stage feature selection technology considering delay effect in the power load forecasting
Received:August 15, 2018  Revised:August 15, 2018
DOI:10.19753/j.issn1001-1390.2019.022.019
中文关键词: 延迟交互信息  特征选择  前馈神经网络  预测参考点  负荷预测
英文关键词: Delay mutual information, Feature selection, Feedforward neural network, Prediction reference point, Load forecasting
基金项目:
Author NameAffiliationE-mail
LIUWEIFENG Electrical Engineering College of Guizhou University 871854193@qq.com 
LIUMin* Electrical Engineering College of Guizhou University minliu666@qq.com 
XUYidan Electrical Engineering College of Guizhou University 262487374@qq.com 
LUOYongping Electrical Engineering College of Guizhou University 960073677@qq.com 
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中文摘要:
      针对特征对负荷的影响具有延迟效应,在现有的两段特征选择技术基础上提出了一种计及延迟效应的两段特征选择技术。首先,基于延迟交互信息(delay mutual information,DMI)寻找特征与负荷之间最佳预测参考点,并借助该参考点调整相空间。然后,对该相空间进行基于DMI的两段特征选择,即不相关滤波和冗余滤波。最后,将滤波后的相空间输入预测引擎进行预测。实例对多个可能相关的变量进行分析,验证了该方法可降低预测误差和时间。
英文摘要:
      For the delayed effect of the influence of feature on the power load, a two-stage feature selection technique considering delay effect is proposed on the basis of the existing two-stage feature selection technique. Firstly, the optimum prediction reference point between feature and load is searched based delay mutual information (DMI) theory, and the phase space reconstruction is carried out by the optimum prediction reference point. After that, the two-stage feature selection based on DMI is implemented for the above-mentioned phase space, which consist of uncorrelated filtering and redundant filtering. Finally, the filtered phase space is input into the prediction engine to predict. Example is used to analyze lots of variables that may be relevant, which proves that this method can reduce prediction error and time.
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