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文章摘要
一种考虑冗余度的电压暂降工业过程中断概率评估方法
A Method for estimating industrial process interruption probability caused by voltage sag considering redundancy
Received:December 24, 2018  Revised:January 15, 2019
DOI:10.19753/j.issn1001-1390.2020.07.002
中文关键词: 电压暂降  电压耐受曲线  工业过程  过程抗扰时间  冗余度
英文关键词: voltage  sag, voltage  tolerance curve, industrial  process, process  immunity time, redundancy
基金项目:国家自然科学基金资助项目(51807126),
Author NameAffiliationE-mail
Wang Ying School of Electrical and Information Engineering,Sichuan University 20312028@qq.com 
Shao Bin* School of Electrical and Information Engineering,Sichuan University 421812190@qq.com 
Xiao Xiaoyong School of Electrical and Information Engineering,Sichuan University xiaoxianyong@163.com 
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中文摘要:
      文章采用“设备级→环节级→过程级”三级评估方法,对电压暂降引起工业过程中断的概率与频次进行评估。根据设备电压耐受曲线及其不确定区域,建立设备电压暂降故障概率评估模型,为减小评估误差,提出了电压暂降规范化方法。根据环节各物理参数的过程抗扰时间与相应设备最小重启时间,准确量化环节各物理参数冗余度,并以此修正相应设备的故障概率,根据设备作用以及设备之间的连接方式确定环节的结构并计算环节中断概率。通过引入层次分析法中权重系数的计算方法,计算各环节权重系数,结合环节中断概率计算工业过程电压暂降中断概率。实例分析结果验证了所提模型的正确性和可行性。
英文摘要:
      The paper uses the “equipment level→link level→process level” three-level evaluation method to evaluate the probability and frequency of industrial process interruption caused by voltage sag. According to the equipment voltage tolerance curve and its uncertain region, the equipment voltage sag fault probability evaluation model is established. In order to reduce the evaluation error, a voltage sag normalization method is proposed. According to the process immunity time of each physical parameter of the link and the minimum restart time of the corresponding equipment, accurately quantify the redundancy of each physical parameter of the link, and correct the failure probability of the corresponding device, and determine the link according to the function of the device and the connection mode between the devices. Structure and calculate the probability of interruption. By introducing the calculation method of the weight coefficient in the analytic hierarchy process, the weight coefficient of each link is calculated, and the probability of the industrial process voltage sag is calculated by combining the link interruption probability. The example analysis results verify the correctness and feasibility of the proposed model.
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