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文章摘要
基于多场景技术的冷热电虚拟电厂两阶段优化调度
Two-stage optimal dispatching of CCHP virtual power plant based on multi-scenario
Received:October 08, 2019  Revised:October 08, 2019
DOI:10.19753/j.issn1001-1390.2022.03.024
中文关键词: 虚拟电厂  拉丁超立方抽样  不确定性  粒子群算法  同步回代消除法
英文关键词: virtual power plant, latin hypercube sampling, uncertainty, particle swarm optimization, simultaneous backward reduction
基金项目:上海市自然科学基金项目(15ZR1418000)
Author NameAffiliationE-mail
hanzhiyong Shanghai University of Electric Power 1143443877@qq.com 
zhangyuhua* Shanghai University of Electric Power zhyhdq@126.com 
libing Shanghai University of Electric Power shieplb@163.com 
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中文摘要:
      针对风、光出力及负荷需求的不确定性造成虚拟电厂收益低的问题,建立了基于多场景技术的冷热电虚拟电厂优化调度模型。对风光出力及电、热、冷负荷的不确定性进行分析,通过拉丁超立方抽样生成连续时间场景,模拟风光出力及多能负荷随时间的波动情况;采用同步回代消除法对所生成的场景进行削减,得到风、光、荷典型日场景。在此基础上构建多场景冷热电虚拟电厂两阶段协调优化模型,日前阶段建立考虑多种成本和约束的运行模型,通过粒子群算法对所提模型进行寻优,得到多场景最佳出力方案;实时校正阶段加入监管成本,对可控设备出力进行调节,消除预测误差造成的波动性;通过算例分析,验证了所提模型能够有效降低风光出力及多能负荷不确定性的影响,可实现冷热电虚拟电厂协调优化运行。
英文摘要:
      In order to solve the problem of low profit of virtual power plant caused by the uncertainty of wind power, photovoltaic and load demands, an optimal scheduling model of CCHP virtual power plant based on multi-scenario is proposed. The continuous time scenarios are generated by latin hypercube sampling to simulate the wind power and photovoltaic output and the fluctuation of multi-energy load with time. The generated scenarios are reduced by simultaneous backward reduction to obtain typical scenarios. Moreover, a two-stage coordinated optimization model for multi-scenario CCHP virtual power plants is constructed. In the real-time stage, an operational model considering multiple costs and constraints is established, and the proposed model is optimized by particle swarm optimization algorithm to obtain the best multi-scenario output scheme. In the real-time correction phase, the regulatory cost is added to adjust the output of the controllable equipment to eliminate the volatility. The simulation analysis in typical cases verifies that the proposed model can eliminate the influence of uncertainty of wind power, photovoltaic and load, and promote the complementary and coordination of operation for CCHP virtual power plant.
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