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文章摘要
基于ANFIS的变压器寿命预测和状态评估
Transformer life estimation and state assessment based on ANFIS
Received:December 25, 2019  Revised:December 25, 2019
DOI:10.19753/j.issn1001-1390.2022.01.008
中文关键词: 变压器  寿命预测  状态评估  自适应模糊神经网络
英文关键词: transformer, life estimation, state assessment, ANFIS
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目( 51777119)
Author NameAffiliationE-mail
Hu Biwei School of Electrical Engineering, Shanghai University of Electric Power, Shanghai 200090, China. 931425478@qq.com 
Deng Xiangli* School of Electrical Engineering, Shanghai University of Electric Power, Shanghai 200090, China. 884236416@qq.com 
Jia Shenghao Jiangsu Xingli Construction Group Co., Ltd., Nanjing 210000, Chin 354834163@qq.com 
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中文摘要:
      变压器寿命和运行状态准确的评估对其检修策略的制定有着重要的指导意义。为了实现对变压器寿命和状态进行客观的、科学的评估,文中提出了基于自适应模糊神经网络(ANFIS)的多特征诊断参数的变压器寿命预测和状态评估方法。提取影响变压器寿命的特征参数,通过自适应模糊神经网络对这些特征参数进行学习,利用反向传播算法解决权重的自适应动态调整,构建变压器的寿命预测模型;在其基础上结合油中溶解气体建立一种变压器综合健康状态评估模型。通过实验数据研究论证,该模型能够准确有效地诊断变压器寿命和状态,同时相比传统方法有更高的预测精度和评估精度,是一种新的有效的变压器状态评估方法。
英文摘要:
      The accurate life evaluation and operation state assessment of transformer is of great significance to the formulation of its maintenance strategy. In order to achieve the objective and scientific assessment of transformer life and state, this paper proposes a transformer life prediction and state assessment method based on multi-feature diagnostic parameters of adaptive fuzzy neural network (ANFIS). Firstly, the characteristic parameters affecting the life of the transformer are extracted, and these characteristic parameters are learned through an adaptive fuzzy neural network. The back propagation algorithm is adopted to solve the adaptive dynamic adjustment of the weights, and a life prediction model of the transformer is constructed; on this basis, a comprehensive health state assessment model of transformer is established by combining the dissolved gas in the oil. Through the research of experimental data, the model can accurately and effectively diagnose the transformer life and state, and has higher prediction accuracy and evaluation accuracy than the traditional method. It is a new and effective transformer state evaluation method.
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