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文章摘要
基于多分类融合模型的智能电表故障预测
Prediction on fault classification of smart meters based on multi-classification integration model
Received:May 20, 2020  Revised:May 22, 2020
DOI:10.19753/j.issn1001-1390.2022.11.022
中文关键词: 智能电表故障  混合采样  多分类算法  模型融合
英文关键词: smart meter fault,mixed sampling,multi-classification algorithm,model integration
基金项目:
Author NameAffiliationE-mail
Chen Ye Electric Power Research Institute of Yunnan Power Grid Co. Ltd 363419628@qq.com 
Han Tong Electric Power Research Institute of Yunnan Power Grid Co. Ltd 66097023@qq.com 
Wei Ling Electric Power Research Institute of Yunnan Power Grid Co. Ltd 2690792334@qq.com 
Yu Xiuli* Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications yxl@bupt.edu.cn 
Li Xinxiong Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications lixx@bupt.edu.cn 
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中文摘要:
      由于智能电表功能的丰富多样,随之而来的是设备故障类型及故障率的不断增加,如何准确地判断智能电表的故障类型,提高故障表的检修效率,对保障智能电表的安全稳定运行十分重要。本文提出一种基于多分类融合模型的智能电表故障预测算法。首先,针对智能电表故障进行多维度分析及故障类型筛选;通过欠采样和过采样相结合的混合采样方式解决数据集中类不平衡问题,构建分类预测模型所需数据;利用基础分类算法的组合获取最优融合算法,在公共数据集上验证了所提算法的有效性,融合后的准确率较基础分类模型有稳定提升;最终以近年来电网系统中实时采集的智能电表故障数据为基础,进行了基础模型与融合后算法模型的实验对比,结果表明本文所提的多分类融合算法模型在故障预测的准确率和可靠性上有明显的提升。
英文摘要:
      Due to the rich and diverse functions of smart meters, the equipment fault types and failure rates is gradually increasing. It is very important to ensure the safe and stable operation of smart meters that how to accurately determine the fault types of smart meters and improve the maintenance efficiency of fault meters. In this paper, integration algorithm model of multi-classification is proposed in fault pretition. Firstly, the multi-dimensional analysis and fault type selection are carried out for the intelligent meter fault, and the problem of class imbalance in the data set is solved by the combination of undersampling and oversampling, and the data needed for the classified prediction model is constructed; Using the combination of the basic classification algorithm to obtain the optimal fusion algorithm, the accuracy of the proposed algorithm is proved on the public data set, and the accuracy after fusion is steadily improved by comparing with the basic classification model. Finally, based on the real-time fault data of smart meters collected in recent years in the power grid system, the experimental comparison between the basic model and the fusion algorithm model is carried out, and the results show that the proposed algorithm is effective. The accuracy and reliability of fault prediction are improved obviously by using the multi-classification integration algorithm model.
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