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文章摘要
基于矩阵形式F&D法的智能变电站二次系统危险点分析
Risk analysis to secondary system of smart substation based on the matrix description of the F&D method
Received:August 28, 2020  Revised:August 28, 2020
DOI:10.19753/j.issn1001-1390.2020.23.011
中文关键词: 智能变电站  二次系统  危险点分析  可靠性  灵敏度
英文关键词: smart  substation, secondary  system, risk  analysis, reliability, sensitivity
基金项目:
Author NameAffiliationE-mail
Wang Bo* Stat Grid Pingdingshan Power Supply Coompany wb196805@163.com 
Hu Juntai Stat Grid Pingdingshan Power Supply Coompany wb196805@163.com 
Zhang Keyong Stat Grid Pingdingshan Power Supply Coompany wb196805@163.com 
Li Xiaohang Stat Grid Pingdingshan Power Supply Coompany wb196805@163.com 
Zhang Yiqun Stat Grid Pingdingshan Power Supply Coompany wb196805@163.com 
Sun Shiyong Stat Grid Pingdingshan Power Supply Coompany wb196805@163.com 
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中文摘要:
      智能变电站二次系统内部元件众多且结构复杂,直接建立状态空间容易导致维数灾难,且难以给出系统状态概率对各元件可靠性参数灵敏度的解析表达式,无法直接对各元件的危险性进行分析。本文采用分层等值的方式建立智能变电站二次系统状态空间,首先建立各子系统的状态空间,通过频率及持续时间(F D)法组合各状态空间,得到最终系统的可靠性模型。针对系统的危险点分析,采用矩阵形式的F D法建立等值前后转移率矩阵之间的联系,推导系统状态概率对各元件可靠性参数偏导的解析表达式,量化相应的灵敏度。算例分析给出了可靠性及灵敏度的计算结果,为智能变电站二次系统危险点分析提供了参考依据。
英文摘要:
      The secondary system of the smart substation has numerous components with complex structure, thus the state space with establishing directly may yield dimensionality disaster. It is difficulty to derive the analytical expression about the sensitivity of the system state probability to the reliability parameters of its components, thus the risk analysis of each component cannot be obtained directly. In this paper, the method of reliability equivalence is introduced to obtain the complete state space of the secondary system of the smart substation. The state spaces of its subsystems are established, and combined by the method of frequency and duration (F D), yielding the reliability model of the whole system. For the weakness analysis of the secondary system of the smart substation, the matrix description of the F D method is applied in this paper to obtain the connection of between the transition rates before and after the equivalence, deriving the analytical expression about the partial derivative of the system state probability to the reliability parameters of its components, which helps to quantify the corresponding sensitivities. The numerical results give the results of the reliability and sensitivity, which provide the reference to the weakness analysis of the secondary system of the smart substation.
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