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文章摘要
考虑风光不确定性的微网经济风险博弈模型
Economic Risk Game Model of Microgrid Considering Wind and Photovoltaic Power Uncertainties
Received:October 20, 2020  Revised:October 30, 2020
DOI：10.19753/j.isssn1001-1390.2023.03.016
中文关键词: 马尔科夫-蒙特卡洛法  风光不确定性  讨价还价博弈  微网
英文关键词: Markov-Monte Carlo method  uncertainty of wind and PV  bargain game  microgrid
基金项目:基于博弈策略的虚拟电厂动态聚合模型研究 51607112
Author NameAffiliationE-mail
ZHENG yuanli Shanghai University of Electric Power 18763801260@163.com 
GONG Jinxia* Shanghai Univercity of Electric Power jxgong2015@163.com 
MEI Guangyin Shanghai University of Electric Power mei13738534676@163.com 
Ye Yao Shanghai Univercity of Electric Power 15214787789@163.com 
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中文摘要:
      微网中风光等可再生能源发电出力具有不确定性特性,因此在微网优化调度中需重视不确定性的处理。文章计及风光不确定性,提出一种基于风险指标的微网讨价还价博弈模型。首先,为表征可再生能源的不确定性因素,建立风光出力的马尔科夫链模型,结合蒙特卡洛法模拟出大量风光出力场景,进而利用模糊C聚类生成典型场景；再次,提出综合考虑微网运行经济性及风险性的讨价还价博弈模型；然后,应用MATLAB调用IPOPT优化软件实现模型求解；最后,通过算例仿真计算验证该模型及求解方法的有效性和可行性。
英文摘要:
      
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