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文章摘要
考虑风光不确定性的微网经济风险博弈模型
Economic Risk Game Model of Microgrid Considering Wind and Photovoltaic Power Uncertainties
Received:October 20, 2020
Revised:October 30, 2020
DOI:
10.19753/j.isssn1001-1390.2023.03.016
中文关键词
:
马尔科夫-蒙特卡洛法
风光不确定性
讨价还价博弈
微网
英文关键词
:
Markov-Monte Carlo method
uncertainty of wind and PV
bargain game
microgrid
基金项目
:
基于博弈策略的虚拟电厂动态聚合模型研究 51607112
Author Name
Affiliation
E-mail
ZHENG yuanli
Shanghai University of Electric Power
18763801260@163.com
GONG Jinxia
*
Shanghai Univercity of Electric Power
jxgong2015@163.com
MEI Guangyin
Shanghai University of Electric Power
mei13738534676@163.com
Ye Yao
Shanghai Univercity of Electric Power
15214787789@163.com
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中文摘要
:
微网中风光等可再生能源发电出力具有不确定性特性,因此在微网优化调度中需重视不确定性的处理。文章计及风光不确定性,提出一种基于风险指标的微网讨价还价博弈模型。首先,为表征可再生能源的不确定性因素,建立风光出力的马尔科夫链模型,结合蒙特卡洛法模拟出大量风光出力场景,进而利用模糊C聚类生成典型场景;再次,提出综合考虑微网运行经济性及风险性的讨价还价博弈模型;然后,应用MATLAB调用IPOPT优化软件实现模型求解;最后,通过算例仿真计算验证该模型及求解方法的有效性和可行性。
英文摘要
:
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