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文章摘要
基于点估计算法的异构能源系统运行评估策略研究
Research on operation evaluation strategy of heterogeneous energy system based on point estimation algorithm
Received:March 09, 2022  Revised:March 21, 2022
DOI:DOI: 10.19753/j.issn1001-1390.2022.10.001
中文关键词: 异构能源系统  能量状态评估  点估计
英文关键词: heterogeneous energy system, energy state assessment, point estimation
基金项目:国家重点研发计划“智能电网技术与装备”重点专项:工业园区多元用户互动的配用电系统关键技术研究与示范(2016YFB0901300);广东省重点领域研发计划资助:面向大规模异构系统的综合管理平台及其应用示范(2020B010166004)
Author NameAffiliationE-mail
Zhang Yang* Guangzhou Power Supply Bureau of Guangdong Power Grid Co., Ltd Ywuzhuanyong2021@163.com 
Sun Yingying Oriental electronics co., ltd. ytdtsunyy@163.com 
Wang Fei Guangzhou Power Supply Bureau of Guangdong Power Grid Co., Ltd gzddwangfei@163.com 
Zhong Zihan Guangzhou Power Supply Bureau of Guangdong Power Grid Co., Ltd zhongzihan0524@126.com 
Yu Quanxi Oriental electronics co., ltd. ximing224@163.com 
Li Yajun Oriental electronics co., ltd. liyajun@scut.edu.c 
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中文摘要:
      异构能源系统中多种不确定性对系统运行评估带来了挑战。提出了一种异构能源系统运行评估策略,考虑了负荷、需求响应、能源供给不确定性。在分析子网之间的耦合设备的基础上,提出了由电气、燃气和热能子网组成的异构能源系统的能量流概率模型。使用点估计算法对系统不确定性进行分析。提出了一种新的分析方法,以加速异构能源系统的能量流分解。在仿真中对所提出的方法进行测试,相比传统方法,所提出的方法在求解速度和精度方面均有较大提升。
英文摘要:
      A variety of uncertainties in heterogeneous energy system pose challenges to system operation evaluation. In this paper, an operation evaluation strategy of heterogeneous energy system is proposed, which considers the uncertainty of load, demand response and energy supply. Firstly, based on the analysis of the coupling equipment between subnets, the energy flow probability model of heterogeneous energy system composed of electrical, gas and thermal subnets is proposed. Secondly, the point estimation algorithm is used to analyze the system uncertainty. In addition, a new analysis method is proposed to accelerate the energy flow decomposition of heterogeneous energy system. The proposed method is tested in the simulation. Compared with the traditional method, the proposed method has a great improvement in solution speed and accuracy.
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