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文章摘要
基于用电负荷预测的微电网智能电力交易研究
Research on intelligent electricity trading of micro-grid based on load prediction
Received:June 14, 2024  Revised:July 03, 2024
DOI:10.19753/j.issn1001-1390.2025.12.012
中文关键词: 新型电力系统  分布式新能源  微电网  电力用户  电力生产
英文关键词: novel power system, distributed new energy, micro-grid, electricity user, electricity producer
基金项目:中国南方电网有限责任公司科技项目(059300HK42210063)
Author NameAffiliationE-mail
ZHANG Lijuan* Information Center, Yunnan Power Grid Co., Ltd. zhanglijuan0503@163.com 
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中文摘要:
      针对新型电力系统中含分布式新能源的微电网电力生产和销售问题,文章研究了基于用户用电数据驱动的智能电网电力交易问题。首先论述了微电网同时作为电力用户和电力生产者时的交易系统框架,然后建立了微电网内数据驱动的用户用电负荷自回归积分滑动平均(autoregressive integrated moving average, ARIMA)时间序列预测模型,之后在此基础上依据用电负荷的不同构建了微电网参与电力市场交易时作为电力用户时的购电交易模型和作为电力生产者时的售电交易模型。最后,针对所述方法和双模交易模型通过仿真实验分析验证了其经济性和有效性。
英文摘要:
      In response to the production and sales of electricity of micro-grid in novel power system with distributed new energy, this paper studies the electricity trading problem of smart grid based on user electricity consumption data. Firstly, the framework of the electricity trading system for micro-grids as both electricity users and producers was discussed. Then, a data-driven autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) time series prediction model of electricity load for users within the micro-grid was established. Based on the difference of electricity load, the power purchase trading model and power sales trading model for micro-grids were constructed when micro-grid participates in the power market transaction as a power user and as a power producer. Finally, the economy and effectiveness of the proposed method and dual-mode trading model were verified through simulation experiments.
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