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文章摘要
风电出力偏差成本及其条件风险方法的电力经济调度
Power Economic Dispatch of Wind Power Output Deviation Cost and Conditional Risk Method
Received:October 09, 2015  Revised:March 23, 2016
DOI:
中文关键词: 经济调度  条件风险  风电计划出力  偏差成本
英文关键词: economic  dispatch, conditional  value-at-risk (CVaR), wind  power planned  output, the  cost of  deviation
基金项目:国家自然科学基金资助(51277016,71331001)
Author NameAffiliationE-mail
Li Yingying* Hunan Province Key Laboratory of Smart Grids Operation and Control Changsha University of Science and Technology 709050910@qq.com 
Liu Zhao Hunan Province Key Laboratory of Smart Grids Operation and Control Changsha University of Science and Technology 976214479@qq.com 
Zhang Jie Hunan Province Key Laboratory of Smart Grids Operation and Control Changsha University of Science and Technology 492039447@qq.com 
Zhou Renjun Hunan Province Key Laboratory of Smart Grids Operation and Control Changsha University of Science and Technology zrj0731@163.com 
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中文摘要:
      含风电电力系统调度中风电实际出力与其计划出力间存在一定的偏差。计划出力过高则需调用系统备用,从而产生高估后的偏差成本;计划出力过低则会出现弃风,从而产生低估后的偏差成本;将风电计划出力费用和高估低估的偏差成本计入目标函数,以火电机组出力、风电计划出力为控制变量,风电实际出力为随机变量,采用条件风险方法(Conditional Value-at-Risk,CVaR)处理带有随机变量的函数,构建了目标函数含风电出力偏差条件风险值的电力系统经济调度模型。对于条件风险方法中概率密度函数难以解析表达的问题,采用蒙特卡罗模拟和解析法相结合,使计算求解简便快捷。通过IEEE30节点系统仿真表明:该方法可有效解决含风电系统经济调度问题;与传统调度模型相比,总成本费用更低。
英文摘要:
      Including wind power electric power system dispatching stroke has certain deviation between actual output and its planned output. Plan high output is called reserve capacity of power system, so as to produce overestimate the cost of deviation; Planning output is too low to abandon the wind will appear, which produce underestimate the cost of deviation; The planned output of wind power costs and overestimate underestimate the cost included in the objective function of the deviation, With the output of the thermal power unit, the wind power project as the control variable, the actual output of the wind power is a random variable, conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) theory which deals with the random issues was introduced to construct a economic dispatch model of power systems which the objective function contains the risk value of wind power output deviation conditions. The analytic expression of density function risk is difficult to obtain, so the analytic method and Monte Carlo simulation are combined to resolve the economic dispatch model and make it easy to calculate. The simulation result of IEEE30-bus system with wind power generation show that the method can effectively solve the problem of economic dispatch of wind power system; Compared with the traditional scheduling model, the total cost is lower.
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