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文章摘要
基于改进密度峰值聚类的超短期工业负荷预测
Ultra-short term industrial load prediction based on improved density peak clustering
Received:July 03, 2019  Revised:July 03, 2019
DOI:10.19753/j.issn1001-1390.2021.05.023
中文关键词: 密度峰值聚类  类间优化 类内优化  工业负荷预测 用电行为
英文关键词: peak  density clustering  inter-class  optimization intra-class  optimization industrial  load forecasting  power consumption  behavior
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目( U1510112)
Author NameAffiliationE-mail
LI Gang School of electrical and power engineering, taiyuan university of technology 771871643@qq.com 
DU Xinhui* School of electrical and power engineering, taiyuan university of technology duxinhui211@163.com 
PEI Yueyao School of electrical and power engineering, taiyuan university of technology 517973788@qq.com 
LIU Haoyang School of electrical and power engineering, taiyuan university of technology 385113348@qq.com 
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中文摘要:
      密度峰值聚类的收敛速度较快且无需人工设置最佳聚类数,更具备高鲁棒性特点,可以在工业负荷预测中进行用户用电行为的模式识别与分类,然后进行预测,具有较高的实际应用价值。但是该算法在小样本条件下聚类效果不佳,容易“遗漏”样本中的聚类中心。针对这种情况,进行类间距离优化和类内距离优化,使待聚类数据更容易被分类,对用户用电行为进行深入的挖掘分类,再使用灰色关联度确定待预测日所属类簇,使用GRNN神经网络进行负荷预测。通过Matlab仿真,可以得出结论,该文方法可以有效提高工业用户用电负荷数据的聚类效果,并提高负荷预测的精度。
英文摘要:
      Density peak clustering has the advantages of strong robustness,fast convergence,no need to set the optimal clustering number,etc. It can be used for pattern recognition and classification of user electricity behavior in industrial load forecasting,and then make prediction,which has high practical application value. However,this algorithm has a poor clustering effect under the condition of small samples, the classification division is not obvious, and there are a lot of noise points. In view of this situation, inter-class optimization and intra-class optimization were carried out for the density peak clustering to enhance the data separability and conduct in-depth mining and classification of users" electricity consumption behaviors. Then,gray relational degree was used to determine the category to be predicted, and GRNN neural network was used for load prediction. Through Matlab simulation,it can be concluded that the method in this paper can effectively improve the clustering effect of power load data of industrial users and improve the accuracy of load prediction.
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