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文章摘要
城市路网中考虑多方影响的电动汽车能耗预测
Electric Vehicle Energy Consumption Prediction Considering Multiple Influences in Urban Road Network
Received:July 06, 2020  Revised:July 06, 2020
DOI:10.19753/j.issn1001-1390.2020.20.013
中文关键词: 电动汽车  能耗预测  城市路网  S-LSTM神经网络
英文关键词: Electric vehicles, Energy consumption prediction, Urban road network, S-LSTM neural network
基金项目:电动汽车一体化电站微电网群分层协调调度策略和优化方法研究
Author NameAffiliationE-mail
Cheng Jiangzhou College of Electrical Engineering and New Energy Three Gorges University 394036934@qq.com 
Yu Zirong* College of Electrical Engineering and New Energy Three Gorges University 394036934@qq.com 
Cheng Shan College of Electrical Engineering and New Energy Three Gorges University 394036934@qq.com 
Ruan Zengcheng College of Electrical Engineering and New Energy Three Gorges University 394036934@qq.com 
Guo Sihan College of Electrical Engineering and New Energy Three Gorges University 394036934@qq.com 
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中文摘要:
      为加快电动汽车行业低碳发展进程,调整交通运输领域能源组成结构,对于电动汽车能量消耗方面的研究成为当下重点。然而传统物理能耗模型存在参数难以实时获取,缺乏与车辆行驶工况以及交通特性的联系等缺陷。因此,文中首先分析电动汽车能耗与天气因素、社会因素以及路网线路特性等因素的关系,构造连接微观层面平均行驶速度与宏观层面交通状态的能耗预测模型;其次,采用改进的LSTM神经网络对不同行驶工况下电动汽车平均速度进行预测,结合空调附加耗能对单位里程汽车耗电量进行计算。最后,以杭州市交通路网为例,验证了能耗预测模型的准确性,改进的LSTM网络相较传统LSTM网络以及BP网络,均方根误差(RMSE)分别降低了33.2%和40.2%、平均绝对误差(MAE)分别降低了34.8%和41.5%。
英文摘要:
      In order to accelerate the low-carbon development process of the electric vehicle industry and adjust the energy composition of the transportation sector, research on the energy consumption of electric vehicles has become the current focus. However, the traditional physical energy consumption model has the defects that it is difficult to obtain the parameters in real time, and lacks the connection with the vehicle driving conditions and traffic characteristics. Therefore, the article first analyzes the relationship between electric vehicle energy consumption and weather factors, social factors, road network line characteristics and other factors, and constructs an energy consumption prediction model that connects the average driving speed at the micro level and the traffic state at the macro level; second, the improved LSTM neural network The network predicts the average speed of electric vehicles under different driving conditions, and calculates the power consumption per unit of mileage by combining the additional energy consumption of air conditioners. Finally, taking the Hangzhou transportation network as an example, the accuracy of the energy consumption prediction model is verified. Compared with the traditional LSTM network and BP network, the improved LSTM network has a root mean square error (RMSE) of 33.2% and 40.2%, respectively. The mean absolute error (MAE) decreased by 34.8% and41.5%, respectively.
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